Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.356401 3.707568 4.088170 4.532698 5.039369 5.600895 6.273076
2025-09-07 2.916877 3.400312 3.961162 4.665276 5.533161 6.577780 7.945321
2025-09-14 2.567846 3.109031 3.768063 4.640266 5.780315 7.242714 9.298590
2025-09-21 2.307516 2.877483 3.598517 4.593967 5.959036 7.805745 10.565527
2025-09-28 2.045491 2.609080 3.343332 4.391175 5.884058 7.992750 11.307916
2025-10-05 1.915551 2.497442 3.277592 4.427961 6.130865 8.644273 12.809403
2025-10-12 1.821064 2.422462 3.250408 4.509177 6.441417 9.416683 14.609279
2025-10-19 1.738246 2.354835 3.224449 4.584420 6.744051 10.205869 16.558314
2025-10-26 1.662741 2.290330 3.195292 4.648069 7.029716 10.996413 18.638336
2025-11-02 1.587160 2.219182 3.148977 4.677707 7.258640 11.714089 20.705209
2025-11-09 1.479650 2.092817 3.008941 4.543485 7.194838 11.904286 21.771378
2025-11-16 1.399528 2.002521 2.917616 4.479687 7.243303 12.299331 23.318674
2025-11-23 1.333143 1.930703 2.852502 4.457729 7.370276 12.871066 25.388460
2025-11-30 1.303760 1.914634 2.874993 4.586815 7.786666 14.064415 29.120437
2025-12-07 1.246116 1.849902 2.813255 4.562200 7.909728 14.681340 31.636128
2025-12-14 1.189405 1.783234 2.743606 4.516851 7.986330 15.209333 34.052658
2025-12-21 1.109436 1.674375 2.596366 4.318280 7.738062 14.999398 34.491344
2025-12-28 1.076619 1.641551 2.576615 4.354303 7.968720 15.887060 38.141020
2026-01-04 1.053257 1.623053 2.580099 4.433828 8.297564 17.049990 42.909171
2026-01-11 1.030300 1.603840 2.580809 4.507499 8.621558 18.253416 48.176621
2026-01-18 1.006905 1.582516 2.576183 4.569812 8.927177 19.462161 53.866768
2026-01-25 0.980001 1.553642 2.555972 4.598827 9.160612 20.525181 59.438490
2026-02-01 0.932243 1.485952 2.460814 4.467420 9.009537 20.543687 61.268459